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			PubMed Journals: Euro Surveill

  Source:		PMID: 32019669


    		Euro Surveill. 2020 Jan;25(4). doi:
     		10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058.

			Pattern of early human-to-human transmission
			of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV),
			December 2019 to January 2020.

			Riou J(1), Althaus CL(1).

			Author Information
			(1) Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine,
			University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.

			Since December 2019, China has been
			experiencing a large outbreak of a novel
			coronavirus (2019-nCoV) which can cause
			respiratory disease and severe pneumonia. We
			estimated the basic reproduction number R0 of
			2019-nCoV to be around 2.2 (90% high density
			interval: 1.4-3.8), indicating the potential for
			sustained human-to-human transmission.
			Transmission characteristics appear to be of
			similar magnitude to
			severe acute respiratory syndrome-related
			coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and pandemic
			influenza, indicating a risk of global spread.

			
			DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000058
			PMCID: PMC7001239 PMID: 32019669

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