PubMed Journals: Euro Surveill
Source: PMID: 32019669
⇦ ⇨ Euro Surveill. 2020 Jan;25(4). doi:
Pattern of early human-to-human transmission
of Wuhan 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV),
December 2019 to January 2020.
Riou J(1), Althaus CL(1).
(1) Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine,
University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland.
Since December 2019, China has been
experiencing a large outbreak of a novel
coronavirus (2019-nCoV) which can cause
respiratory disease and severe pneumonia. We
estimated the basic reproduction number R0 of
2019-nCoV to be around 2.2 (90% high density
interval: 1.4-3.8), indicating the potential for
sustained human-to-human transmission.
Transmission characteristics appear to be of
similar magnitude to
severe acute respiratory syndrome-related
coronavirus (SARS-CoV) and pandemic
influenza, indicating a risk of global spread.
PMCID: PMC7001239 PMID: 32019669